Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NCAAF )

Total Bets
73
Win Rate
63%
46W / 27L
Total P&L
$2,001.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$27.41
ROI
27.4%

Best Matchups

vs Circa Sports
$2,508.00
31 bets (90.3%)
vs BookMaker
$481.00
9 bets (77.8%)
vs LowVig
$362.00
5 bets (80.0%)
vs FanDuel
$-1,567.00
26 bets (19.2%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

1-3 hours
$21
4 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$317
3 bets
100.0% win
6-12 hours
$-1,089
22 bets
27.3% win
12-24 hours
$166
7 bets
57.1% win
> 24 hours
$2,586
37 bets
83.8% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

1-2 hours
$17
2 bets
50.0% win
2-4 hours
$4
2 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$325
7 bets
71.4% win
8-24 hours
$-931
25 bets
32.0% win
24+ hours
$2,586
37 bets
83.8% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 4 3W / 1L 75.0% -0.80% +57.25% $229.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 23 16W / 7L 69.6% -0.46% +47.00% $1,081.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 5 0W / 5L 0.0% -0.35% -122.60% $-613.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 4 4W / 0L 100.0% -0.16% +100.00% $400.00
0% to +0.1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.00% +0.00% $0.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 3 1W / 2L 33.3% +0.17% -33.33% $-100.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 15 15W / 0L 100.0% +0.21% +100.00% $1,500.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 15 5W / 10L 33.3% +0.32% -33.33% $-500.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.46% +2.00% $4.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
$10k+ $35,633 6 5W / 1L 83.3% $442.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Circa Sports 31 28W / 3L 90.3% $2,508.00
BookMaker 9 7W / 2L 77.8% $481.00
LowVig 5 4W / 1L 80.0% $362.00
FanDuel 26 5W / 21L 19.2% $-1,567.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Total Points
LowVig Over 47.5 Liq $19.2k... +104 48 (21-27) 9h 21m WIN +$104.00
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $2... +270 21-27 2h 38m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Total Points
BookMaker Over 47.5 Liq $16.9k... +108 48 (21-27) 6h 40m WIN +$108.00
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 47.5 Liq $23.4k... +117 48 (21-27) 1h 55m WIN +$117.00
01/19/26
Miami Florida vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Total Points
FanDuel Over 47.5 Liq $48.7k... +113 48 (21-27) 5h 14m WIN +$113.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
FanDuel Indiana Liq $291 $10 -163 56-22 49h 47m WIN +$100.00
01/09/26
Oregon vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker, Circa Sports Indiana Liq $104k $1... -163 56-22 7h 43m WIN +$100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $1... -138 17-13 82h 10m WIN +$100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $1... -156 31-27 73h 54m WIN +$100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $1... -156 31-27 74h 31m WIN +$100.00
01/08/26
Miami Florida vs Ole Miss
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Miami Florida Liq $1... -156 31-27 75h 4m WIN +$100.00
01/02/26
Arizona vs SMU
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Arizona -2.5 Liq $74... +113 19-24 35h 44m LOSS $-100.00
01/02/26
Arizona vs SMU
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
FanDuel SMU Liq $490 $10 +104 24-19 8h 46m WIN +$104.00
01/02/26
Arizona vs SMU
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Arizona -1.5 Liq $57... +113 19-24 25h 41m LOSS $-100.00
01/02/26
Wake Forest vs Mississipp...
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
LowVig Wake Forest +2.5 Liq... +104 43-29 2h 10m WIN +$104.00
01/02/26
Arizona vs SMU
Football • NCAAF - Total Points
Circa Sports Under 51.5 Liq $240... +108 43 (19-24) 16h 48m WIN +$108.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - 1st Half Moneyline
Circa Sports Texas State Liq $316... -400 41-10 14h 11m WIN +$100.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
LowVig Rice +18.5 Liq $4.1k... +104 10-41 1h 47m LOSS $-100.00
01/02/26
Rice vs Texas State
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
LowVig Texas State -17.5 Li... +104 41-10 4h 58m WIN +$104.00
01/01/26
Ole Miss vs Georgia
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Georgia Liq $171k $1... -213 34-39 9h 8m LOSS $-213.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Alabama +6.5 Liq $30... +133 3-38 7h 44m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $1.6k $1... -223 38-3 44h 18m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $1.6k $1... -223 38-3 45h 54m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $1.9k $1... -223 38-3 47h 18m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $434 $10 -223 38-3 49h 54m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
BookMaker Indiana Liq $214 $10 -223 38-3 60h 48m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Alabama vs Indiana
Football • NCAAF - Point Spread
FanDuel Alabama +6.5 Liq $1.... +133 3-38 8h 16m LOSS $-100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $525 $10 -117 23-0 39h 23m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $123 $10 -117 23-0 86h 56m WIN +$100.00
01/01/26
Oregon vs Texas Tech
Football • NCAAF - Moneyline
Circa Sports Oregon Liq $119 $10 -117 23-0 86h 44m WIN +$100.00