Polymarket Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Hockey • NHL )

Total Bets
505
Win Rate
55.6%
281W / 224L
Total P&L
$7,205.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$14.27
ROI
14.3%

Best Matchups

vs LowVig
$2,391.00
85 bets (61.2%)
vs Circa Sports
$1,921.00
155 bets (49.7%)
vs BookMaker
$1,105.00
35 bets (65.7%)
vs FanDuel
$516.00
62 bets (58.1%)
vs Kalshi
$483.00
9 bets (77.8%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$235
17 bets
58.8% win
1-3 hours
$-20
31 bets
48.4% win
3-6 hours
$-510
48 bets
43.8% win
6-12 hours
$2,174
109 bets
57.8% win
12-24 hours
$3,622
226 bets
55.3% win
> 24 hours
$1,704
74 bets
63.5% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$200
4 bets
75.0% win
15-30 min
$-265
6 bets
33.3% win
30-60 min
$300
7 bets
71.4% win
1-2 hours
$292
16 bets
56.3% win
2-4 hours
$28
32 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$45
72 bets
48.6% win
8-24 hours
$4,901
294 bets
55.8% win
24+ hours
$1,704
74 bets
63.5% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 172 96W / 76L 55.8% -0.75% +13.50% $2,322.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 96 55W / 41L 57.3% -0.45% +16.54% $1,588.00
-0.4% to -0.3% 34 17W / 17L 50.0% -0.37% -2.15% $-73.00
-0.3% to -0.2% 36 22W / 14L 61.1% -0.24% +32.06% $1,154.00
-0.2% to -0.1% 19 12W / 7L 63.2% -0.18% +24.42% $464.00
-0.1% to 0% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% -0.08% -257.00% $-257.00
0% to +0.1% 23 13W / 10L 56.5% +0.00% +22.48% $517.00
+0.1% to +0.2% 14 6W / 8L 42.9% +0.16% -21.14% $-296.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 50 26W / 24L 52.0% +0.23% +1.88% $94.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 16 12W / 4L 75.0% +0.35% +104.44% $1,671.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 21 11W / 10L 52.4% +0.44% +7.48% $157.00
+0.5% to +1% 23 11W / 12L 47.8% +0.73% -5.91% $-136.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $220 40 27W / 13L 67.5% $1,500.00
$500 - $1k $744 11 8W / 3L 72.7% $477.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,634 50 21W / 29L 42.0% $-911.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,321 147 75W / 72L 51.0% $251.00
$5k - $10k $6,404 74 38W / 36L 51.4% $652.00
$10k+ $18,495 60 26W / 34L 43.3% $-876.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
LowVig 85 52W / 33L 61.2% $2,391.00
Circa Sports 155 77W / 78L 49.7% $1,921.00
BookMaker 35 23W / 12L 65.7% $1,105.00
FanDuel 62 36W / 26L 58.1% $516.00
Kalshi 9 7W / 2L 77.8% $483.00
LowVig, Pinnacle 5 4W / 1L 80.0% $318.00
Circa Sports, Pinnacle 4 3W / 1L 75.0% $217.00
bet105, Pinnacle 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $208.00
bet105, LowVig 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
BookMaker, Pinnacle 2 2W / 0L 100.0% $200.00
Circa Sports, LowVig 10 5W / 5L 50.0% $188.00
bet105 11 6W / 5L 54.5% $172.00
Pinnacle 102 54W / 48L 52.9% $24.00
Circa Sports, FanDuel, LowVig 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $23.00
BookMaker, Circa Sports, LowVig 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $0.00
BookMaker, Circa Sports 2 0W / 2L 0.0% $-204.00
Circa Sports, FanDuel 8 2W / 6L 25.0% $-491.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/05/26
Los Angeles Kings vs Vega...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Vegas Golden Knights... -133 4-1 23h 19m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Ottawa Senators vs Philad...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Fanduel Philadelphia Flyers +122 1-2 19h 54m LOSS $-100.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Pittsburgh Penguins +122 5-2 19h 54m WIN +$122.00
02/05/26
Florida Panthers vs Tampa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
bet105, Circa Sports, LowVig Tampa Bay Lightning... -170 6-1 12h 53m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Florida Panthers vs Tampa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Florida Panthers Liq... +170 1-6 21h 29m LOSS $-100.00
02/05/26
Florida Panthers vs Tampa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig Tampa Bay Lightning... -178 6-1 17h 53m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Carolina Hurricanes vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Pinnacle Carolina Hurricanes... -203 2-0 15h 19m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Nashville Predators vs Wa...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Nashville Predators... +163 2-4 16h 15m LOSS $-100.00
02/05/26
Carolina Hurricanes vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Pinnacle Carolina Hurricanes... -203 2-0 16h 34m WIN +$100.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Pittsburgh Penguins... +122 5-2 16h 3m WIN +$122.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports Pittsburgh Penguins... +122 5-2 17h 51m WIN +$122.00
02/05/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Bu...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6.5 Liq $171 $1... -108 7 (5-2) 10h 42m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Edmonton Oilers vs Calgar...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig Edmonton Oilers Liq... -117 3-4 18h 41m LOSS $-117.00
02/04/26
San Jose Sharks vs Colora...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports San Jose Sharks Liq... +257 2-4 1h 8m LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
San Jose Sharks vs Colora...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig San Jose Sharks Liq... +257 2-4 1h 22m LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
Minnesota Wild vs Nashvil...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
BookMaker Nashville Predators... +117 5-6 27h 19m LOSS $-100.00
02/04/26
Boston Bruins vs Florida...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Florida Panthers Liq... -122 5-4 19h 16m WIN +$100.00
02/04/26
Chicago Blackhawks vs Col...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
BookMaker Columbus Blue Jacket... -138 4-0 28h WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Seattle Kraken vs Anaheim...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Under 6.5 Liq $6.0k... -104 6 (2-4) 1h 41m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ed...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
LowVig Over 6.5 Liq $181 $1... -117 7 (5-2) 21h 56m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ed...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $1.2k $... -127 7 (5-2) 13h 51m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ed...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 6.5 Liq $1.3k $... -127 7 (5-2) 16h 35m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa B...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Tampa Bay Lightning... -203 4-3 24h 9m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ne...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
Pinnacle Over 5.5 Liq $1.1k $... -122 9 (4-5) 14h 16m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa B...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
Circa Sports, LowVig Tampa Bay Lightning... -170 4-3 3h 14m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Washington Capitals vs Ph...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Philadelphia Flyers... -122 4-2 19h 21m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Washington Capitals vs Ph...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig Washington Capitals... +122 2-4 11h 58m LOSS $-100.00
02/03/26
Ottawa Senators vs Caroli...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
FanDuel Carolina Hurricanes... -186 4-3 29h 29m WIN +$100.00
02/03/26
Columbus Blue Jackets vs...
Hockey • NHL - Total Goals
FanDuel Over 5.5 Liq $474 $1... -122 3 (3-0) 3h 1m LOSS $-122.00
02/03/26
Columbus Blue Jackets vs...
Hockey • NHL - Moneyline
LowVig Columbus Blue Jacket... +108 3-0 20h 53m WIN +$108.00