Polymarket Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB )
Total Bets
418
Win Rate
49.8%
208W / 210L
Total P&L
$26.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$0.06
ROI
0.1%
Best Matchups
vs BookMaker
$905.00
22 bets (63.6%)
vs DraftKings
$790.00
8 bets (75.0%)
vs Fanatics
$327.00
6 bets (66.7%)
vs bet105
$70.00
17 bets (52.9%)
vs Circa Sports, LowVig
$19.00
8 bets (37.5%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NCAAB only)
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$-718
60 bets
45.0% win
1-3 hours
$739
84 bets
53.6% win
3-6 hours
$1,650
87 bets
58.6% win
6-12 hours
$170
110 bets
50.9% win
12-24 hours
$-1,815
75 bets
37.3% win
> 24 hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$277
26 bets
53.8% win
15-30 min
$-553
16 bets
37.5% win
30-60 min
$-442
18 bets
38.9% win
1-2 hours
$119
47 bets
51.1% win
2-4 hours
$1,288
64 bets
60.9% win
4-8 hours
$189
120 bets
49.2% win
8-24 hours
$-852
125 bets
46.4% win
24+ hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 70 | 41W / 29L | 58.6% | -0.80% | +15.53% | $1,087.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 70 | 29W / 41L | 41.4% | -0.45% | -12.61% | $-883.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 11 | 6W / 5L | 54.5% | -0.35% | +20.55% | $226.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 27 | 15W / 12L | 55.6% | -0.25% | +9.41% | $254.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | -0.16% | -257.00% | $-257.00 |
| -0.1% to 0% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | -0.04% | -376.00% | $-376.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 14 | 7W / 7L | 50.0% | +0.00% | -1.29% | $-18.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 17 | 9W / 8L | 52.9% | +0.16% | +2.47% | $42.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 62 | 30W / 32L | 48.4% | +0.23% | -4.87% | $-302.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 13 | 7W / 6L | 53.8% | +0.34% | -6.15% | $-80.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 42 | 19W / 23L | 45.2% | +0.45% | -3.17% | $-133.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 90 | 45W / 45L | 50.0% | +0.70% | +5.18% | $466.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $201 | 166 | 86W / 80L | 51.8% | $1,113.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $672 | 49 | 25W / 24L | 51.0% | $-257.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,483 | 89 | 48W / 41L | 53.9% | $834.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,462 | 29 | 18W / 11L | 62.1% | $1,033.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,622 | 9 | 3W / 6L | 33.3% | $-325.00 |
| $10k+ | $13,750 | 4 | 0W / 4L | 0.0% | $-400.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BookMaker | 22 | 14W / 8L | 63.6% | $905.00 |
| DraftKings | 8 | 6W / 2L | 75.0% | $790.00 |
| Fanatics | 6 | 4W / 2L | 66.7% | $327.00 |
| Caesars | 2 | 2W / 0L | 100.0% | $226.00 |
| bet105 | 17 | 9W / 8L | 52.9% | $70.00 |
| Circa Sports, LowVig | 8 | 3W / 5L | 37.5% | $19.00 |
| BookMaker, Circa Sports | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $17.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $0.00 |
| Kalshi | 7 | 3W / 4L | 42.9% | $-104.00 |
| Circa Sports | 86 | 40W / 46L | 46.5% | $-149.00 |
| LowVig | 94 | 44W / 50L | 46.8% | $-164.00 |
| Pinnacle | 13 | 5W / 8L | 38.5% | $-219.00 |
| crypto.com | 2 | 0W / 2L | 0.0% | $-335.00 |
| Circa Sports, FanDuel | 10 | 4W / 6L | 40.0% | $-542.00 |
| FanDuel | 136 | 70W / 66L | 51.5% | $-923.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/13/26 |
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
BookMaker | North Carolina A&T L... | +156 | 71-70 | 2h 4m | WIN | +$156.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | North Carolina A&T L... | +133 | 71-70 | 13h 27m | WIN | +$133.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
North Carolina A&T vs Ham...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
BookMaker | North Carolina A&T L... | +150 | 71-70 | 3h 18m | WIN | +$150.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Massachusetts vs Akron
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 161.5 Liq $11... | +113 | 191 (92-99) | 4h 37m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 148.5 Liq $192... | +113 | 163 (71-92) | 5h 19m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Michigan State vs Wiscons...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
BookMaker | Wisconsin Liq $14 $1... | +122 | 92-71 | 11h 20m | WIN | +$122.00 |
| 02/13/26 |
Manhattan vs Niagara
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Niagara Liq $386 $10 | -117 | 69-76 | 15h 18m | LOSS | $-117.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 145.5 Liq $594... | +113 | 149 (83-66) | 7h 13m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Caesars | Over 146.5 Liq $87 $... | +113 | 149 (83-66) | 6h 17m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
California Baptist vs Sou...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 146.5 Liq $435... | +117 | 149 (83-66) | 6h 30m | WIN | +$117.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Southeast Missouri State...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 138.5 Liq $1.6k... | +113 | 130 (56-74) | 1h 43m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Kansas City vs Oral Rober...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 146.5 Liq $391... | +113 | 129 (60-69) | 9h 58m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Purdue Fort Wayne vs Gree...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Caesars | Under 142.5 Liq $73... | +113 | 124 (63-61) | 7h 34m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Northern Kentucky vs IUPU...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 162.5 Liq $164... | +113 | 165 (84-81) | 8h 52m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/12/26 |
Bryant vs UMass Lowell
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | UMass Lowell Liq $13... | -213 | 88-69 | 16h 38m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 154.5 Liq $401... | +113 | 160 (81-79) | 1h 44m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Old Dominion Liq $10... | +127 | 79-81 | 20h 21m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Marshall vs Old Dominion
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Old Dominion Liq $20... | +150 | 79-81 | 3h 24m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
USC vs Ohio State
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 150.5 Liq $573... | +108 | 171 (82-89) | 7h 23m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Boston University vs Army
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Boston University Li... | -138 | 85-68 | 25m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
The Citadel vs Western Ca...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Western Carolina Liq... | -285 | 87-49 | 16h 3m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/11/26 |
Iowa vs Maryland
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Over 141.5 Liq $368... | +113 | 147 (70-77) | 8h 6m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Iowa State vs TCU
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | TCU Liq $137 $10 | +285 | 62-55 | 20h 14m | WIN | +$285.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Arkansas vs LSU
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Arkansas Liq $20 $10 | -213 | 91-62 | 19h 12m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Fresno State vs Utah Stat...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
DraftKings | Over 154.5 Liq $56 $... | +117 | 169 (78-91) | 3h 38m | WIN | +$117.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Arkansas vs LSU
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Arkansas Liq $52 $10 | -203 | 91-62 | 23h 30m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Colorado State vs Air For...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Fanatics | Under 136.5 Liq $16.... | +117 | 165 (91-74) | 1h 3m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Fanatics | Western Illinois Liq... | +194 | 79-70 | 15h 9m | WIN | +$194.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
DraftKings | Western Illinois Liq... | +194 | 79-70 | 15h 9m | WIN | +$194.00 |
| 02/10/26 |
Eastern Illinois vs Weste...
Basketball • NCAAB - Total Points
|
Circa Sports | Under 132.5 Liq $398... | +113 | 149 (70-79) | 2h 28m | LOSS | $-100.00 |