Polymarket Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Football • NFL )
Total Bets
193
Win Rate
53.9%
104W / 89L
Total P&L
$1,430.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$7.41
ROI
7.4%
Best Matchups
vs FanDuel
$1,673.00
81 bets (59.3%)
vs LowVig
$1,225.00
22 bets (72.7%)
vs bet105, Pinnacle
$134.00
3 bets (66.7%)
vs Circa Sports
$-44.00
44 bets (54.5%)
vs bet105
$-187.00
4 bets (25.0%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Less
More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Football • NFL only)
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$-162
8 bets
37.5% win
1-3 hours
$21
8 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$616
11 bets
72.7% win
6-12 hours
$862
32 bets
62.5% win
12-24 hours
$-1,164
26 bets
30.8% win
> 24 hours
$1,257
108 bets
56.5% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$-162
6 bets
33.3% win
30-60 min
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
1-2 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$429
10 bets
70.0% win
4-8 hours
$232
17 bets
52.9% win
8-24 hours
$-226
49 bets
49.0% win
24+ hours
$1,257
108 bets
56.5% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1% to -0.5% | 21 | 12W / 9L | 57.1% | -0.75% | -23.10% | $-485.00 |
| -0.5% to -0.4% | 54 | 29W / 25L | 53.7% | -0.45% | +12.70% | $686.00 |
| -0.4% to -0.3% | 19 | 16W / 3L | 84.2% | -0.34% | +72.63% | $1,380.00 |
| -0.3% to -0.2% | 49 | 19W / 30L | 38.8% | -0.24% | -19.14% | $-938.00 |
| -0.2% to -0.1% | 13 | 7W / 6L | 53.8% | -0.18% | +26.31% | $342.00 |
| 0% to +0.1% | 10 | 7W / 3L | 70.0% | +0.00% | +51.40% | $514.00 |
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 7 | 1W / 6L | 14.3% | +0.15% | -115.86% | $-811.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 9 | 9W / 0L | 100.0% | +0.23% | +113.89% | $1,025.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | +0.34% | +33.33% | $100.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 8 | 2W / 6L | 25.0% | +0.46% | -47.88% | $-383.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $155 | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | $-100.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $974 | 2 | 0W / 2L | 0.0% | $-200.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,833 | 3 | 3W / 0L | 100.0% | $341.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $4,000 | 6 | 5W / 1L | 83.3% | $424.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $6,767 | 9 | 7W / 2L | 77.8% | $412.00 |
| $10k+ | $90,127 | 26 | 15W / 11L | 57.7% | $430.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Polymarket performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 81 | 48W / 33L | 59.3% | $1,673.00 |
| LowVig | 22 | 16W / 6L | 72.7% | $1,225.00 |
| bet105, Pinnacle | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | $134.00 |
| Circa Sports, FanDuel | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $8.00 |
| Circa Sports | 44 | 24W / 20L | 54.5% | $-44.00 |
| bet105 | 4 | 1W / 3L | 25.0% | $-187.00 |
| Pinnacle | 16 | 5W / 11L | 31.3% | $-592.00 |
| BookMaker | 16 | 5W / 11L | 31.3% | $-687.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Polymarket
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/25/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Los Angeles Rams Liq... | +127 | 27-31 | 23h 43m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Los Angeles Rams Liq... | +127 | 27-31 | 15h 56m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Los Angeles Rams Liq... | +127 | 27-31 | 26h 35m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
bet105 | Los Angeles Rams Liq... | +133 | 27-31 | 66h 42m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Total Points
|
bet105, Pinnacle | Over 47.5 Liq $680 $... | +117 | 58 (27-31) | 77h 49m | WIN | +$117.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Seatt...
Football • NFL - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 47.5 Liq $3.5k... | -108 | 58 (27-31) | 112h 55m | LOSS | $-108.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
Denver Broncos vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Point Spread
|
Circa Sports | Denver Broncos +3.5 | +108 | 10-7 | 10h 25m | WIN | +$108.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | New England Patriots... | -213 | 10-7 | 65h 39m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | New England Patriots... | -223 | 10-7 | 93h 17m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | New England Patriots... | -223 | 10-7 | 94h 31m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
New England Patriots vs D...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | New England Patriots... | -203 | 10-7 | 47h 1m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/18/26 |
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - 1st Half Moneyline
|
bet105, Pinnacle | Houston Texans Liq $... | +138 | 10-21 | 1h 38m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/18/26 |
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 41.5 Liq $937 $... | +113 | 44 (16-28) | 2h 13m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 01/18/26 |
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Team Total
|
FanDuel | New England Patriots... | +104 | 28 | 8h 49m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/18/26 |
Houston Texans vs New Eng...
Football • NFL - Total Points
|
bet105, Pinnacle | Over 41.5 Liq $2.6k... | +117 | 44 (16-28) | 13h 13m | WIN | +$117.00 |
| 01/18/26 |
Los Angeles Rams vs Chica...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Los Angeles Rams Liq... | -186 | 20-17 | 3h 18m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Houston Texans Liq $... | -150 | 30-6 | 121h 46m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Houston Texans Liq $... | -150 | 30-6 | 122h 33m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Houston Texans Liq $... | -150 | 30-6 | 129h 23m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 39.5 Liq $17.8k... | +117 | 36 (30-6) | 2h 35m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 38.5 Liq $37.6k... | +104 | 36 (30-6) | 2h 35m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Houston Texans Liq $... | -150 | 30-6 | 115h 22m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Houston Texans Liq $... | -150 | 30-6 | 116h 31m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Houston Texans Liq $... | -150 | 30-6 | 120h 34m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Houston Texans Liq $... | -150 | 30-6 | 118h 19m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Houston Texans vs Pittsbu...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Houston Texans Liq $... | -150 | 30-6 | 113h 37m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/11/26 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Los Angeles Chargers... | +178 | 3-16 | 68h 1m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/11/26 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
LowVig | Los Angeles Chargers... | +178 | 3-16 | 35h 28m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/11/26 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports, LowVig | Los Angeles Chargers... | +178 | 3-16 | 54h 22m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/11/26 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs N...
Football • NFL - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Los Angeles Chargers... | +178 | 3-16 | 69h 24m | LOSS | $-100.00 |