Kalshi Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB / Moneyline )
Total Bets
29
Win Rate
37.9%
11W / 18L
Total P&L
$-826.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-28.48
ROI
-28.5%
Best Matchups
vs FanDuel
$130.00
8 bets (62.5%)
vs Polymarket
$124.00
3 bets (66.7%)
vs Circa Sports
$-788.00
14 bets (21.4%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
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Loss
Profit
Performance by Sport
Click to filter by sport (showing Moneyline markets)
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NCAAB only)
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$-219
4 bets
25.0% win
1-3 hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
3-6 hours
$-100
1 bets
0.0% win
6-12 hours
$-637
14 bets
28.6% win
12-24 hours
$178
4 bets
75.0% win
> 24 hours
$-48
4 bets
50.0% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$173
1 bets
100.0% win
15-30 min
$-231
2 bets
0.0% win
30-60 min
$-161
1 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$0
2 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$-737
11 bets
18.2% win
8-24 hours
$178
8 bets
62.5% win
24+ hours
$-48
4 bets
50.0% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | +0.19% | -131.00% | $-131.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 17 | 6W / 11L | 35.3% | +0.24% | -33.00% | $-561.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | +0.32% | -100.00% | $-100.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 2 | 2W / 0L | 100.0% | +0.40% | +148.50% | $297.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 8 | 3W / 5L | 37.5% | +0.73% | -41.38% | $-331.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $150 | 8 | 4W / 4L | 50.0% | $-55.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $500 | 1 | 1W / 0L | 100.0% | $100.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,560 | 5 | 3W / 2L | 60.0% | $112.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,100 | 1 | 0W / 1L | 0.0% | $-161.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $7,650 | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $0.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Kalshi performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 8 | 5W / 3L | 62.5% | $130.00 |
| Polymarket | 3 | 2W / 1L | 66.7% | $124.00 |
| BookMaker | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-31.00 |
| Circa Sports | 14 | 3W / 11L | 21.4% | $-788.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Kalshi
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/26 |
Cornell vs Columbia
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Cornell Liq $408 $10 | +124 | 88-67 | 6h 3m | WIN | +$124.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Princeton vs Pennsylvania
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Princeton Liq $169 $... | +152 | 60-61 | 8h 12m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/07/26 |
Drexel vs Elon
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Drexel Liq $23.1k $1... | +173 | 82-77 | 9m | WIN | +$173.00 |
| 02/06/26 |
Belmont vs UIC
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
BookMaker | Belmont Liq $8.5k $1... | -161 | 68-62 | 7h 5m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
UC San Diego vs Cal State...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
BookMaker | UC San Diego Liq $10... | -131 | 64-81 | 22m | LOSS | $-131.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Colgate vs Lehigh
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Colgate Liq $252 $10 | -161 | 76-77 | 56m | LOSS | $-161.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Marquette vs Seton Hall
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Marquette Liq $761 $... | +228 | 64-69 | 28m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/31/26 |
Marquette vs Seton Hall
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
LowVig | Marquette Liq $56 $1... | +295 | 64-69 | 2h 30m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/29/26 |
Hawaii vs UC Irvine
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Hawaii Liq $1.2k $10 | +109 | 76-87 | 27h 18m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/29/26 |
Utah Valley vs Tarleton S...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Utah Valley Liq $197... | -183 | 83-55 | 2h 31m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/29/26 |
Bryant vs Binghamton
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Binghamton Liq $260... | -116 | 63-60 | 18h 2m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Washington State vs San D...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Washington State Liq... | -148 | 66-76 | 26h 44m | LOSS | $-148.00 |
| 01/21/26 |
Lafayette vs Boston Unive...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Boston University Li... | -218 | 77-73 | 18h 7m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/19/26 |
Stonehill vs St. Francis...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
crypto.com | Stonehill Liq $3.1k... | -161 | 61-63 | 6h 3m | LOSS | $-161.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Texas A&M-Corpus Chr... | -218 | 61-50 | 20h 30m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/12/26 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas A&M-Corpus Chr... | -251 | 61-50 | 10h 29m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/10/26 |
Arkansas Pine Bluff vs Te...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Arkansas Pine Bluff... | -103 | 82-83 | 9h 35m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Texas Southern vs Grambli...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas Southern Liq $... | +197 | 67-84 | 7h 14m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Texas Southern vs Grambli...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas Southern Liq $... | +197 | 67-84 | 6h 7m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Texas Southern vs Grambli...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas Southern Liq $... | +197 | 67-84 | 6h 24m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Texas Southern vs Grambli...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas Southern Liq $... | +197 | 67-84 | 6h 30m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Texas Southern vs Grambli...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas Southern Liq $... | +197 | 67-84 | 7h 42m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Texas Southern vs Grambli...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas Southern Liq $... | +197 | 67-84 | 5h 49m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Texas Southern vs Grambli...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas Southern Liq $... | +197 | 67-84 | 7h 35m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Texas Southern vs Grambli...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas Southern Liq $... | +197 | 67-84 | 8h 9m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Texas Southern vs Grambli...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
Circa Sports | Texas Southern Liq $... | +197 | 67-84 | 7h 58m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Columbia vs Cornell
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Cornell Liq $752 $10 | -122 | 99-104 | 16h 47m | LOSS | $-122.00 |
| 12/30/25 |
New Mexico vs Boise State
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Boise State Liq $920... | -229 | 62-53 | 31h 52m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 12/30/25 |
New Mexico vs Boise State
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Boise State Liq $863... | -229 | 62-53 | 31h 15m | WIN | +$100.00 |