Kalshi Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Moneyline )

Total Bets
16
Win Rate
37.5%
6W / 10L
Total P&L
$-484.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-30.25
ROI
-30.3%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$-812.00
14 bets (28.6%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$-400
2 bets
0.0% win
3-6 hours
$228
1 bets
100.0% win
12-24 hours
$66
3 bets
66.7% win
> 24 hours
$-378
10 bets
30.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$-400
2 bets
0.0% win
4-8 hours
$228
1 bets
100.0% win
8-24 hours
$66
3 bets
66.7% win
24+ hours
$-378
10 bets
30.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
+0.1% to +0.2% 2 2W / 0L 100.0% +0.16% +117.00% $234.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 5 1W / 4L 20.0% +0.26% -87.20% $-436.00
+0.3% to +0.4% 2 0W / 2L 0.0% +0.33% -200.00% $-400.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 5 2W / 3L 40.0% +0.43% -2.00% $-10.00
+0.5% to +1% 2 1W / 1L 50.0% +0.60% +64.00% $128.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $158 8 2W / 6L 25.0% $-446.00
$500 - $1k $650 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $134.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,500 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $228.00
$2.5k - $5k $4,900 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$5k - $10k $8,300 1 0W / 1L 0.0% $-100.00
$10k+ $13,300 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Kalshi performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 14 4W / 10L 28.6% $-812.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Kalshi

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/03/26
Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pace...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Indiana Pacers Liq $... -168 122-131 20h 9m LOSS $-168.00
02/01/26
Chicago Bulls vs Miami He...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Chicago Bulls Liq $4... +166 91-134 25h 11m LOSS $-100.00
02/01/26
Chicago Bulls vs Miami He...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Chicago Bulls Liq $8... +173 91-134 26h 42m LOSS $-100.00
01/30/26
Los Angeles Lakers vs Was...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
FanDuel Los Angeles Lakers L... -263 142-111 21h WIN +$100.00
01/27/26
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Washington Wizards L... +166 115-111 38h 27m WIN +$166.00
01/25/26
Miami Heat vs Phoenix Sun...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Miami Heat Liq $650... +134 111-102 21h 35m WIN +$134.00
01/22/26
Charlotte Hornets vs Orla...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
bet105 Charlotte Hornets Li... +228 124-97 5h 38m WIN +$228.00
01/19/26
Boston Celtics vs Detroit...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Boston Celtics Liq $... +109 103-104 46h 15m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
Boston Celtics vs Detroit...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Boston Celtics Liq $... +105 103-104 47h 31m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
Indiana Pacers vs Philade...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Indiana Pacers Liq $... +239 104-113 44h 53m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
Indiana Pacers vs Philade...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Indiana Pacers Liq $... +228 104-113 45h 13m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlant...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Milwaukee Bucks Liq... +124 112-110 38h 13m WIN +$124.00
01/11/26
Philadelphia 76ers vs Tor...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Philadelphia 76ers L... -168 115-116 25h 39m LOSS $-168.00
01/05/26
Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Toronto Raptors Liq... -161 118-100 50h 53m WIN +$100.00
01/02/25
Charlotte Hornets vs Milw...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Milwaukee Bucks Liq... -200 110-113 Live LOSS $-200.00
01/02/25
Charlotte Hornets vs Milw...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
Polymarket Milwaukee Bucks Liq... -200 110-113 Live LOSS $-200.00