Kalshi Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA / Total Points )

Total Bets
16
Win Rate
50%
8W / 8L
Total P&L
$121.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$7.56
ROI
7.6%

Best Matchups

vs FanDuel
$483.00
3 bets (100.0%)
vs Polymarket
$-72.00
6 bets (50.0%)
vs bet105
$-400.00
4 bets (0.0%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

< 1 hour
$130
3 bets
66.7% win
1-3 hours
$-103
1 bets
0.0% win
3-6 hours
$-226
4 bets
25.0% win
6-12 hours
$-208
2 bets
0.0% win
12-24 hours
$528
6 bets
83.3% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

0-15 min
$130
3 bets
66.7% win
1-2 hours
$-103
1 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
4-8 hours
$-434
4 bets
0.0% win
8-24 hours
$428
7 bets
71.4% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
+0.1% to +0.2% 3 1W / 2L 33.3% +0.16% -24.00% $-72.00
+0.2% to +0.3% 9 6W / 3L 66.7% +0.23% +36.44% $328.00
+0.4% to +0.5% 3 1W / 2L 33.3% +0.41% -9.00% $-27.00
+0.5% to +1% 1 0W / 1L 0.0% +0.91% -108.00% $-108.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $268 4 2W / 2L 50.0% $17.00
$500 - $1k $960 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $197.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,417 6 2W / 4L 33.3% $-200.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,000 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-3.00
$5k - $10k $7,500 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Kalshi performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
FanDuel 3 3W / 0L 100.0% $483.00
Pinnacle 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-8.00
Polymarket 6 3W / 3L 50.0% $-72.00
bet105 4 0W / 4L 0.0% $-400.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Kalshi

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/04/26
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 207.5 Liq $960... +197 207 (114-93) 12h 17m WIN +$197.00
02/04/26
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 213.5 Liq $406... +113 207 (114-93) 12h 20m WIN +$113.00
01/29/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Denver N...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 211.5 Liq $534... -112 210 (103-107) 19h 45m WIN +$100.00
01/29/26
Brooklyn Nets vs Denver N...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Under 211.5 Liq $556... -112 210 (103-107) 20h 32m WIN +$100.00
01/27/26
Los Angeles Clippers vs U...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 231.5 Liq $242... -143 218 (115-103) Live LOSS $-143.00
01/22/26
San Antonio Spurs vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
bet105 Over 238.5 Liq $3.7k... +109 235 (126-109) 12h 5m LOSS $-100.00
01/22/26
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
bet105 Under 230.5 Liq $35... +124 238 (115-123) 11h LOSS $-100.00
01/22/26
Charlotte Hornets vs Orla...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
bet105 Over 226.5 Liq $6.2k... +100 221 (124-97) 5h 41m LOSS $-100.00
01/19/26
Miami Heat vs Golden Stat...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 238.5 Liq $1.4k... -112 247 (112-135) 3h 35m WIN +$100.00
01/17/26
Minnesota Timberwolves vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
bet105 Under 228.5 Liq $2.2... +118 249 (123-126) 4h 26m LOSS $-100.00
01/10/26
Miami Heat vs Indiana Pac...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 233.5 Liq $402... -126 222 (99-123) 4h 16m LOSS $-126.00
01/09/26
Milwaukee Bucks vs Los An...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
FanDuel Under 222.5 Liq $21... +173 206 (105-101) 0m WIN +$173.00
01/09/26
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Pinnacle Over 228.5 Liq $8.3k... -108 233 (117-116) Live WIN +$100.00
01/09/26
New Orleans Pelicans vs W...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Polymarket Over 242.5 Liq $2.9k... -103 235 (128-107) 1h 24m LOSS $-103.00
01/07/26
New Orleans Pelicans vs A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
crypto.com Under 241.5 Liq $1.0... +118 217 (100-117) 17h 50m WIN +$118.00
01/05/26
Denver Nuggets vs Philade...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
Pinnacle Under 226.5 Liq $25... -108 249 (125-124) 7h 30m LOSS $-108.00