Kalshi Analytics
Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NBA )
Total Bets
32
Win Rate
43.8%
14W / 18L
Total P&L
$-363.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$-11.34
ROI
-11.3%
Best Matchups
vs FanDuel
$583.00
4 bets (100.0%)
vs bet105
$-172.00
5 bets (20.0%)
vs Polymarket
$-884.00
20 bets (35.0%)
Activity Heatmap
Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat |
Less
More
Profit Heatmap
P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)
| Day | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| All |
Loss
Profit
Performance by Market
Click to filter by market (showing Basketball • NBA only)
Time-to-Game Performance
How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start
< 1 hour
$-270
5 bets
40.0% win
1-3 hours
$-103
1 bets
0.0% win
3-6 hours
$2
5 bets
40.0% win
6-12 hours
$-208
2 bets
0.0% win
12-24 hours
$594
9 bets
77.8% win
> 24 hours
$-378
10 bets
30.0% win
Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)
Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start
0-15 min
$-270
5 bets
40.0% win
1-2 hours
$-103
1 bets
0.0% win
2-4 hours
$100
1 bets
100.0% win
4-8 hours
$-206
5 bets
20.0% win
8-24 hours
$494
10 bets
70.0% win
24+ hours
$-378
10 bets
30.0% win
Edge/Hold Performance
Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)
| Edge Bucket | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | Avg Edge | ROI | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.1% to +0.2% | 5 | 3W / 2L | 60.0% | +0.16% | +32.40% | $162.00 |
| +0.2% to +0.3% | 14 | 7W / 7L | 50.0% | +0.24% | -7.71% | $-108.00 |
| +0.3% to +0.4% | 2 | 0W / 2L | 0.0% | +0.33% | -200.00% | $-400.00 |
| +0.4% to +0.5% | 8 | 3W / 5L | 37.5% | +0.42% | -4.63% | $-37.00 |
| +0.5% to +1% | 3 | 1W / 2L | 33.3% | +0.70% | +6.67% | $20.00 |
Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier
Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)
| Limit Tier | Avg Limit | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $500 | $195 | 12 | 4W / 8L | 33.3% | $-429.00 |
| $500 - $1k | $805 | 2 | 2W / 0L | 100.0% | $331.00 |
| $1k - $2.5k | $1,429 | 7 | 3W / 4L | 42.9% | $28.00 |
| $2.5k - $5k | $3,633 | 3 | 1W / 2L | 33.3% | $-103.00 |
| $5k - $10k | $7,900 | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $0.00 |
| $10k+ | $13,300 | 1 | 1W / 0L | 100.0% | $100.00 |
Performance vs Opposing Books
How Kalshi performs against each opposing sportsbook
| Opposing Book | Bets | W/L | Win Rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4 | 4W / 0L | 100.0% | $583.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2 | 1W / 1L | 50.0% | $-8.00 |
| bet105 | 5 | 1W / 4L | 20.0% | $-172.00 |
| Polymarket | 20 | 7W / 13L | 35.0% | $-884.00 |
Recent Results
Latest 30 graded bets for Kalshi
| Date | Event | Vs | Selection | Odds | Score | Time Before | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 |
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 213.5 Liq $406... | +113 | 207 (114-93) | 12h 20m | WIN | +$113.00 |
| 02/04/26 |
Boston Celtics vs Houston...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 207.5 Liq $960... | +197 | 207 (114-93) | 12h 17m | WIN | +$197.00 |
| 02/03/26 |
Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pace...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Indiana Pacers Liq $... | -168 | 122-131 | 20h 9m | LOSS | $-168.00 |
| 02/01/26 |
Chicago Bulls vs Miami He...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Chicago Bulls Liq $8... | +173 | 91-134 | 26h 42m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 02/01/26 |
Chicago Bulls vs Miami He...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Chicago Bulls Liq $4... | +166 | 91-134 | 25h 11m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/30/26 |
Los Angeles Lakers vs Was...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
FanDuel | Los Angeles Lakers L... | -263 | 142-111 | 21h | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/29/26 |
Brooklyn Nets vs Denver N...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 211.5 Liq $556... | -112 | 210 (103-107) | 20h 32m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/29/26 |
Brooklyn Nets vs Denver N...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Under 211.5 Liq $534... | -112 | 210 (103-107) | 19h 45m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/27/26 |
Los Angeles Clippers vs U...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 231.5 Liq $242... | -143 | 218 (115-103) | Live | LOSS | $-143.00 |
| 01/27/26 |
Portland Trail Blazers vs...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Washington Wizards L... | +166 | 115-111 | 38h 27m | WIN | +$166.00 |
| 01/25/26 |
Miami Heat vs Phoenix Sun...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Miami Heat Liq $650... | +134 | 111-102 | 21h 35m | WIN | +$134.00 |
| 01/22/26 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Utah...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 238.5 Liq $3.7k... | +109 | 235 (126-109) | 12h 5m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/22/26 |
Golden State Warriors vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
bet105 | Under 230.5 Liq $35... | +124 | 238 (115-123) | 11h | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/22/26 |
Charlotte Hornets vs Orla...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
bet105 | Over 226.5 Liq $6.2k... | +100 | 221 (124-97) | 5h 41m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/22/26 |
Charlotte Hornets vs Orla...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
bet105 | Charlotte Hornets Li... | +228 | 124-97 | 5h 38m | WIN | +$228.00 |
| 01/19/26 |
Miami Heat vs Golden Stat...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 238.5 Liq $1.4k... | -112 | 247 (112-135) | 3h 35m | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/19/26 |
Boston Celtics vs Detroit...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Boston Celtics Liq $... | +109 | 103-104 | 46h 15m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/19/26 |
Boston Celtics vs Detroit...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Boston Celtics Liq $... | +105 | 103-104 | 47h 31m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/19/26 |
Indiana Pacers vs Philade...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Indiana Pacers Liq $... | +239 | 104-113 | 44h 53m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/19/26 |
Indiana Pacers vs Philade...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Indiana Pacers Liq $... | +228 | 104-113 | 45h 13m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/19/26 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlant...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Milwaukee Bucks Liq... | +124 | 112-110 | 38h 13m | WIN | +$124.00 |
| 01/17/26 |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
bet105 | Under 228.5 Liq $2.2... | +118 | 249 (123-126) | 4h 26m | LOSS | $-100.00 |
| 01/11/26 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Tor...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Philadelphia 76ers L... | -168 | 115-116 | 25h 39m | LOSS | $-168.00 |
| 01/10/26 |
Miami Heat vs Indiana Pac...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 233.5 Liq $402... | -126 | 222 (99-123) | 4h 16m | LOSS | $-126.00 |
| 01/09/26 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Los An...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
FanDuel | Under 222.5 Liq $21... | +173 | 206 (105-101) | 0m | WIN | +$173.00 |
| 01/09/26 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Over 228.5 Liq $8.3k... | -108 | 233 (117-116) | Live | WIN | +$100.00 |
| 01/09/26 |
New Orleans Pelicans vs W...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Polymarket | Over 242.5 Liq $2.9k... | -103 | 235 (128-107) | 1h 24m | LOSS | $-103.00 |
| 01/07/26 |
New Orleans Pelicans vs A...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
crypto.com | Under 241.5 Liq $1.0... | +118 | 217 (100-117) | 17h 50m | WIN | +$118.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Denver Nuggets vs Philade...
Basketball • NBA - Total Points
|
Pinnacle | Under 226.5 Liq $25... | -108 | 249 (125-124) | 7h 30m | LOSS | $-108.00 |
| 01/05/26 |
Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto...
Basketball • NBA - Moneyline
|
Polymarket | Toronto Raptors Liq... | -161 | 118-100 | 50h 53m | WIN | +$100.00 |