Circa Sports, LowVig Analytics

Detailed performance breakdown for this sportsbook (filtered: Basketball • NCAAB / Moneyline )

Total Bets
10
Win Rate
70%
7W / 3L
Total P&L
$30.00
Avg P&L/Bet
$3.00
ROI
3.0%

Best Matchups

vs Polymarket
$70.00
7 bets (71.4%)
vs FanDuel
$-40.00
3 bets (66.7%)

Activity Heatmap

Bet volume by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Less
More

Profit Heatmap

P&L by hour and day (last 30 days)

Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
All
Loss
Profit

Time-to-Game Performance

How performance varies based on when bets were placed before game start

1-3 hours
$-240
1 bets
0.0% win
3-6 hours
$-330
3 bets
33.3% win
6-12 hours
$600
6 bets
100.0% win

Time-to-Game (Minute Granularity)

Granular breakdown - identify optimal timing windows close to game start

2-4 hours
$-140
2 bets
50.0% win
4-8 hours
$-30
6 bets
66.7% win
8-24 hours
$200
2 bets
100.0% win

Edge/Hold Performance

Performance by expected edge bucket (+ = bettor edge, - = low hold)

Edge Bucket Bets W/L Win Rate Avg Edge ROI P&L
-1% to -0.5% 6 4W / 2L 66.7% -0.77% -13.33% $-80.00
-0.5% to -0.4% 4 3W / 1L 75.0% -0.44% +27.50% $110.00

Performance by Limit/Liquidity Tier

Performance grouped by available betting capacity (sportsbook limits or exchange liquidity)

Limit Tier Avg Limit Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Under $500 $138 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $-40.00
$1k - $2.5k $1,900 1 1W / 0L 100.0% $100.00
$2.5k - $5k $3,900 2 1W / 1L 50.0% $-90.00

Performance vs Opposing Books

How Circa Sports, LowVig performs against each opposing sportsbook

Opposing Book Bets W/L Win Rate P&L
Polymarket 7 5W / 2L 71.4% $70.00
FanDuel 3 2W / 1L 66.7% $-40.00

Recent Results

Latest 30 graded bets for Circa Sports, LowVig

Date Event Vs Selection Odds Score Time Before Result P&L
02/04/26
Georgia Tech vs Californi...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket California Liq $10.5... -350 90-85 6h 15m WIN +$100.00
01/31/26
Georgetown vs Butler
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Butler Liq $2.4k -240 64-77 2h 40m LOSS $-240.00
01/29/26
Utah Valley vs Tarleton S...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
FanDuel Utah Valley Liq $1.9... -185 83-55 9h 40m WIN +$100.00
01/27/26
Purdue vs Indiana
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Purdue Liq $3.8k -190 67-72 5h 43m LOSS $-190.00
01/27/26
George Washington vs Sain...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Saint Louis Liq $4.5... -450 79-76 7h 18m WIN +$100.00
01/21/26
Northern Iowa vs Illinois...
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Illinois State Liq $... -325 59-54 9h 55m WIN +$100.00
01/07/26
Creighton vs Villanova
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
FanDuel Villanova Liq $2.4k -240 72-76 4h 6m LOSS $-240.00
01/06/26
Texas Tech vs Houston
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Houston Liq $5.0k -250 69-65 7h 53m WIN +$100.00
01/06/26
Texas Tech vs Houston
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
Polymarket Houston Liq $5.0k -250 69-65 6h 18m WIN +$100.00
12/20/25
Houston vs Arkansas
Basketball • NCAAB - Moneyline
FanDuel Houston Liq $7.2k -240 94-85 3h 8m WIN +$100.00