Graded Predictions

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Showing 265 games with detailed calculation breakdowns

265
Games
474
Bets
164
Wins
303
Losses
34.6%
Win Rate
$15,391
P&L
-32.5%
ROI

How to Read Each Row

Spread/Total: Closing lines used to calculate prediction

Predicted: (Total + Spread)/2 = Home, (Total - Spread)/2 = Away

Actual: Final game scores

Book Line: Team total over/under line from sportsbook

Edge: Predicted - Book Line (+ = bet OVER, - = bet UNDER)

Result: Did the actual score go over/under the book line?

NBA Milwaukee Bucks @ Golden State Warriors
Jan 8, 2026 3:00 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: -7.5 / Total: 236.5
Predicted:
122
114.5
Actual:
113
120
Diff:
+9
-5.5

Team Total Bets

Bucks: 122 vs book 113.5
OVER (+8.5) LOSS
Warriors: 114.5 vs book 124.5
UNDER (-10) WIN
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: -7.5 | Total: 236.5

Home Predicted = (236.5 + -7.5) / 2 = 114.5

Away Predicted = (236.5 - -7.5) / 2 = 122

Home Edge = 114.5 - 124.5 = -10 → Bet UNDER

Home Actual: 120 < 124.5 → UNDER hit

Away Edge = 122 - 113.5 = +8.5 → Bet OVER

Away Actual: 113 < 113.5 → UNDER hit

NBA Los Angeles Lakers @ San Antonio Spurs
Jan 8, 2026 2:30 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: -14.5 / Total: 204
Predicted:
109.3
94.8
Actual:
91
107
Diff:
+18.3
-12.2

Team Total Bets

Lakers: 109.3 vs book 96.5
OVER (+12.8) LOSS
Spurs: 94.8 vs book 108.5
UNDER (-13.8) WIN
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: -14.5 | Total: 204

Home Predicted = (204 + -14.5) / 2 = 94.8

Away Predicted = (204 - -14.5) / 2 = 109.3

Home Edge = 94.8 - 108.5 = -13.75 → Bet UNDER

Home Actual: 107 < 108.5 → UNDER hit

Away Edge = 109.3 - 96.5 = +12.75 → Bet OVER

Away Actual: 91 < 96.5 → UNDER hit

NBA New Orleans Pelicans @ Atlanta Hawks
Jan 8, 2026 12:30 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: -15 / Total: 218.5
Predicted:
116.8
101.8
Actual:
100
117
Diff:
+16.8
-15.2

Team Total Bets

Pelicans: 116.8 vs book 100.5
OVER (+16.3) LOSS
Hawks: 101.8 vs book 117.5
UNDER (-15.8) WIN
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: -15 | Total: 218.5

Home Predicted = (218.5 + -15) / 2 = 101.8

Away Predicted = (218.5 - -15) / 2 = 116.8

Home Edge = 101.8 - 117.5 = -15.75 → Bet UNDER

Home Actual: 117 < 117.5 → UNDER hit

Away Edge = 116.8 - 100.5 = +16.25 → Bet OVER

Away Actual: 100 < 100.5 → UNDER hit

NBA Los Angeles Clippers @ New York Knicks
Jan 8, 2026 12:30 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: -11.5 / Total: 238.5
Predicted:
125
113.5
Actual:
111
123
Diff:
+14
-9.5

Team Total Bets

Clippers: 125 vs book 112.5
OVER (+12.5) LOSS
Knicks: 113.5 vs book 125.5
UNDER (-12) WIN
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: -11.5 | Total: 238.5

Home Predicted = (238.5 + -11.5) / 2 = 113.5

Away Predicted = (238.5 - -11.5) / 2 = 125

Home Edge = 113.5 - 125.5 = -12 → Bet UNDER

Home Actual: 123 < 125.5 → UNDER hit

Away Edge = 125 - 112.5 = +12.5 → Bet OVER

Away Actual: 111 < 112.5 → UNDER hit

NBA Orlando Magic @ Brooklyn Nets
Jan 8, 2026 12:30 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: +2.5 / Total: 205.5
Predicted:
101.5
104
Actual:
104
103
Diff:
-2.5
+1

Team Total Bets

Magic: 101.5 vs book 105.5
UNDER (-4) WIN
Nets: 104 vs book 103.5
OVER (+0.5) LOSS
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: 2.5 | Total: 205.5

Home Predicted = (205.5 + 2.5) / 2 = 104

Away Predicted = (205.5 - 2.5) / 2 = 101.5

Home Edge = 104 - 103.5 = +0.5 → Bet OVER

Home Actual: 103 < 103.5 → UNDER hit

Away Edge = 101.5 - 105.5 = -4 → Bet UNDER

Away Actual: 104 < 105.5 → UNDER hit

NBA Cleveland Cavaliers @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Jan 9, 2026 1:00 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: -6.5 / Total: 254.5
Predicted:
130.5
124
Actual:
122
131
Diff:
+8.5
-7

Team Total Bets

Cavaliers: 130.5 vs book 120.5
OVER (+10) WIN
Timberwolves: 124 vs book 130.5
UNDER (-6.5) LOSS
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: -6.5 | Total: 254.5

Home Predicted = (254.5 + -6.5) / 2 = 124

Away Predicted = (254.5 - -6.5) / 2 = 130.5

Home Edge = 124 - 130.5 = -6.5 → Bet UNDER

Home Actual: 131 > 130.5 → OVER hit

Away Edge = 130.5 - 120.5 = +10 → Bet OVER

Away Actual: 122 > 120.5 → OVER hit

NBA Houston Rockets @ Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 10, 2026 3:00 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: -2.5 / Total: 216.5
Predicted:
109.5
107
Actual:
105
111
Diff:
+4.5
-4

Team Total Bets

Rockets: 109.5 vs book 108.5
OVER (+1) LOSS
Blazers: 107 vs book 105.5
OVER (+1.5) WIN
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: -2.5 | Total: 216.5

Home Predicted = (216.5 + -2.5) / 2 = 107

Away Predicted = (216.5 - -2.5) / 2 = 109.5

Home Edge = 107 - 105.5 = +1.5 → Bet OVER

Home Actual: 111 > 105.5 → OVER hit

Away Edge = 109.5 - 108.5 = +1 → Bet OVER

Away Actual: 105 < 108.5 → UNDER hit

NBA Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors
Jan 10, 2026 3:00 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: -30.5 / Total: 237
Predicted:
133.8
103.3
Actual:
103
137
Diff:
+30.8
-33.7

Team Total Bets

Kings: 133.8 vs book 105.5
OVER (+28.3) LOSS
Warriors: 103.3 vs book 133.5
UNDER (-30.3) LOSS
Game P&L: $200.00
Show calculation details

Spread: -30.5 | Total: 237

Home Predicted = (237 + -30.5) / 2 = 103.3

Away Predicted = (237 - -30.5) / 2 = 133.8

Home Edge = 103.3 - 133.5 = -30.25 → Bet UNDER

Home Actual: 137 > 133.5 → OVER hit

Away Edge = 133.8 - 105.5 = +28.25 → Bet OVER

Away Actual: 103 < 105.5 → UNDER hit

NBA New York Knicks @ Phoenix Suns
Jan 10, 2026 2:00 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: -3.5 / Total: 218
Predicted:
110.8
107.3
Actual:
107
112
Diff:
+3.8
-4.7

Team Total Bets

Knicks: 110.8 vs book 108.5
OVER (+2.3) LOSS
Suns: 107.3 vs book 109.5
UNDER (-2.3) LOSS
Game P&L: $200.00
Show calculation details

Spread: -3.5 | Total: 218

Home Predicted = (218 + -3.5) / 2 = 107.3

Away Predicted = (218 - -3.5) / 2 = 110.8

Home Edge = 107.3 - 109.5 = -2.25 → Bet UNDER

Home Actual: 112 > 109.5 → OVER hit

Away Edge = 110.8 - 108.5 = +2.25 → Bet OVER

Away Actual: 107 < 108.5 → UNDER hit

NBA Atlanta Hawks @ Denver Nuggets
Jan 10, 2026 2:00 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: +18.5 / Total: 197.5
Predicted:
89.5
108
Actual:
110
87
Diff:
-20.5
+21

Team Total Bets

Hawks: 89.5 vs book 109.5
UNDER (-20) LOSS
Nuggets: 108 vs book 93.5
OVER (+14.5) LOSS
Game P&L: $200.00
Show calculation details

Spread: 18.5 | Total: 197.5

Home Predicted = (197.5 + 18.5) / 2 = 108

Away Predicted = (197.5 - 18.5) / 2 = 89.5

Home Edge = 108 - 93.5 = +14.5 → Bet OVER

Home Actual: 87 < 93.5 → UNDER hit

Away Edge = 89.5 - 109.5 = -20 → Bet UNDER

Away Actual: 110 > 109.5 → OVER hit

NBA Los Angeles Clippers @ Brooklyn Nets
Jan 10, 2026 12:30 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: +18.5 / Total: 225.5
Predicted:
103.5
122
Actual:
121
105
Diff:
-17.5
+17

Team Total Bets

Clippers: 103.5 vs book 119.5
UNDER (-16) LOSS
Nets: 122 vs book 102.5
OVER (+19.5) WIN
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: 18.5 | Total: 225.5

Home Predicted = (225.5 + 18.5) / 2 = 122

Away Predicted = (225.5 - 18.5) / 2 = 103.5

Home Edge = 122 - 102.5 = +19.5 → Bet OVER

Home Actual: 105 > 102.5 → OVER hit

Away Edge = 103.5 - 119.5 = -16 → Bet UNDER

Away Actual: 121 > 119.5 → OVER hit

NBA Philadelphia 76ers @ Orlando Magic
Jan 10, 2026 12:00 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: +11.5 / Total: 204.5
Predicted:
96.5
108
Actual:
103
91
Diff:
-6.5
+17

Team Total Bets

76ers: 96.5 vs book 108.5
UNDER (-12) WIN
Magic: 108 vs book 99.5
OVER (+8.5) LOSS
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: 11.5 | Total: 204.5

Home Predicted = (204.5 + 11.5) / 2 = 108

Away Predicted = (204.5 - 11.5) / 2 = 96.5

Home Edge = 108 - 99.5 = +8.5 → Bet OVER

Home Actual: 91 < 99.5 → UNDER hit

Away Edge = 96.5 - 108.5 = -12 → Bet UNDER

Away Actual: 103 < 108.5 → UNDER hit

NBA New Orleans Pelicans @ Washington Wizards
Jan 10, 2026 12:00 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: +18.5 / Total: 234.5
Predicted:
108
126.5
Actual:
128
107
Diff:
-20
+19.5

Team Total Bets

Pelicans: 108 vs book 126.5
UNDER (-18.5) LOSS
Wizards: 126.5 vs book 110.5
OVER (+16) LOSS
Game P&L: $200.00
Show calculation details

Spread: 18.5 | Total: 234.5

Home Predicted = (234.5 + 18.5) / 2 = 126.5

Away Predicted = (234.5 - 18.5) / 2 = 108

Home Edge = 126.5 - 110.5 = +16 → Bet OVER

Home Actual: 107 < 110.5 → UNDER hit

Away Edge = 108 - 126.5 = -18.5 → Bet UNDER

Away Actual: 128 > 126.5 → OVER hit

NBA Dallas Mavericks @ Utah Jazz
Jan 9, 2026 2:00 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: -5.5 / Total: 228.5
Predicted:
117
111.5
Actual:
114
116
Diff:
+3
-4.5

Team Total Bets

Mavericks: 117 vs book 118.5
UNDER (-1.5) WIN
Jazz: 111.5 vs book 113.5
UNDER (-2) LOSS
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: -5.5 | Total: 228.5

Home Predicted = (228.5 + -5.5) / 2 = 111.5

Away Predicted = (228.5 - -5.5) / 2 = 117

Home Edge = 111.5 - 113.5 = -2 → Bet UNDER

Home Actual: 116 > 113.5 → OVER hit

Away Edge = 117 - 118.5 = -1.5 → Bet UNDER

Away Actual: 114 < 118.5 → UNDER hit

NBA Milwaukee Bucks @ Los Angeles Lakers
Jan 10, 2026 3:30 AM

Score Prediction

Away
Home
Lines Used:
Spread: +3.5 / Total: 206.5
Predicted:
101.5
105
Actual:
105
101
Diff:
-3.5
+4

Team Total Bets

Bucks: 101.5 vs book 102.5
UNDER (-1) LOSS
Lakers: 105 vs book 105.5
UNDER (-0.5) WIN
Game P&L: $9.09
Show calculation details

Spread: 3.5 | Total: 206.5

Home Predicted = (206.5 + 3.5) / 2 = 105

Away Predicted = (206.5 - 3.5) / 2 = 101.5

Home Edge = 105 - 105.5 = -0.5 → Bet UNDER

Home Actual: 101 < 105.5 → UNDER hit

Away Edge = 101.5 - 102.5 = -1 → Bet UNDER

Away Actual: 105 > 102.5 → OVER hit

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